There is an interesting poll in Taipei Times concerning the upcoming presidential election in Taiwan.
The polls show the following figures:
Tsai Ing-wen (Democratic Progressive Party – DPP): 39.6%
Ma Ying-jeou (Kuomintang – KMT): 38.7%
James Soong (People First Party – PFP): 11.7%
The poll is interesting for two reasons. Firstly, Taiwan has a plurality electoral system. There is no second ballot. So, on this poll, the DPP would win. Secondly, President Ma, the incumbent, may lose, but it is feasible that his party could win or at least may not lose the legislative election, which is being held concurrently. If so, then there may be a repeat of the 2000-2008 situation where the DPP president should have cohabited with the KMT, but refused to do so.